Mbhashe

Based on combined ward and PR votes counted so far. Only reported ward wins and independent seats are fixed. Unfinished wards and candidate-list limits can change the allocation. This is a calculation using the current count, not a forecast of the final result.

We reserve the IEC’s reported independent ward seats, then divide the combined party votes by the remaining council seats, discard the fraction and add one. Whole quotas receive seats first, followed by the largest remainders. A tied remainder favours the party with more votes; an unresolved tie leaves the estimate unavailable.

A party keeps its reported ward seats. Where those exceed its proportional allocation, we recalculate the remaining seats for the other parties. We assume parties can fill their estimated seats. We do not predict unfinished ward contests, additional independent wins, unopposed-ward adjustments or candidate-list shortages. The remaining districts may vote differently.

Ward seats reported: 10 of 32. The IEC’s complete allocation replaces this estimate when its totals reconcile.

Method: Municipal Structures Act, Schedule 1, items 12, 13 and 16 ↗.

IEC result time: 05 Nov 2026, 20:46 SAST · Source figures ↗